The Gulf on the Threshold of a New Nuclear Map

Afkar

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Why the Gulf’s Oil Export Future Lies in Southeast Asia

Afkar

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China–GCC Relations in an Emerging Multipolar Order

Issue Brief

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Recent
Publications

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July 30, 2026
Situation Assessment -
A Tale of Two Straits: Yemen’s Shifting Place in Post-War Regional Security

The conflict between Iran and Israel has transformed Yemen into a central player in regional security. This analysis explores the Houthis’ strategic calculations, the growing importance of the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait, and the political, economic, and humanitarian challenges shaping Yemen’s future.

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July 28, 2026
Issue Brief -
Rebuilding the Levant: Inclusive State-Building Post October 7

The events of October 7, 2023, marked a turning point for the Levant, exposing long-standing structural weaknesses in governance, legitimacy, and state institutions. This policy brief examines how the decline of Hezbollah, Syria’s post-Assad transition, and shifting regional dynamics have created both challenges and opportunities for rebuilding resilient states. It argues that durable stability depends on inclusive governance, institutional reform, the conditional integration of non-state actors, and coordinated international support to strengthen sovereignty, promote political participation, and foster sustainable peace across the region.

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July 21, 2026
Issue Brief -
China–GCC Relations in an Emerging Multipolar Order

China–GCC relations have historically been characterized by a deep economic interdependence, primarily dominated by the Gulf’s energy supplies to China.

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July 28, 2026
Issue Brief -
Rebuilding the Levant: Inclusive State-Building Post October 7

The events of October 7, 2023, marked a turning point for the Levant, exposing long-standing structural weaknesses in governance, legitimacy, and state institutions. This policy brief examines how the decline of Hezbollah, Syria’s post-Assad transition, and shifting regional dynamics have created both challenges and opportunities for rebuilding resilient states. It argues that durable stability depends on inclusive governance, institutional reform, the conditional integration of non-state actors, and coordinated international support to strengthen sovereignty, promote political participation, and foster sustainable peace across the region.

learn more
July 21, 2026
Issue Brief -
China–GCC Relations in an Emerging Multipolar Order

China–GCC relations have historically been characterized by a deep economic interdependence, primarily dominated by the Gulf’s energy supplies to China.

learn more
July 21, 2026
Issue Brief -
China–GCC Relations in an Emerging Multipolar Order

China–GCC relations have historically been characterized by a deep economic interdependence, primarily dominated by the Gulf’s energy supplies to China.

learn more

Events

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15 July 2026
past event 3:00 pm GMT - 4:00 pm GMT
250 Years On: What Remains of the American Dream in the Arab Imagination?
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14 July 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT
China’s Evolving Role in Middle East Security 
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7 July 2026
past event 4:30 pm GMT - 5:30 pm GMT
The Future of the Strait of Hormuz: Security Transformations and Economic Recovery
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15 July 2026
past event 3:00 pm GMT - 4:00 pm GMT

250 Years On: What Remains of the American Dream in the Arab Imagination?

learn more
14 July 2026
past event 11:00 am GMT - 12:00 pm GMT

China’s Evolving Role in Middle East Security 

learn more
07 July 2026
past event 4:30 pm GMT - 5:30 pm GMT

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz: Security Transformations and Economic Recovery

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Afkar

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July 30, 2026
The Post-October 7 Era: Iranian-Israeli Attrition and Saudi-Turkish Ascendancy

The Middle East has seen dramatic geopolitical shifts since October 7, 2023. From the war on Gaza to confrontations in Lebanon and Yemen, the fall of the Assad regime, the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, along with Iran’s attacks on Gulf states and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, interconnected conflicts have impacted not only… Continue reading The Post-October 7 Era: Iranian-Israeli Attrition and Saudi-Turkish Ascendancy

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July 29, 2026
A U.S.-Iran Deal That Does Not Address Gulf Concerns Will Not Bring Stability

Although the memorandum of understanding (MoU) between the United States and Iran has been faltering since the moment it was signed, there is no longer a question for the Gulf states over whether an agreement can be reached, but rather the nature of such an agreement. That includes not just its nuclear program but its… Continue reading A U.S.-Iran Deal That Does Not Address Gulf Concerns Will Not Bring Stability

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July 28, 2026
The Gulf on the Threshold of a New Nuclear Map

The historic U.S.-Saudi nuclear cooperation accord signed on July 22 was reached amid efforts to bolster bilateral energy cooperation and diversify the Kingdom’s energy sources, and it includes a commitment to the highest standards of nuclear safety. But it also clearly shifts the delicate balance between the demands of nuclear non-proliferation and calculations of political… Continue reading The Gulf on the Threshold of a New Nuclear Map

learn more
July 30, 2026
The Post-October 7 Era: Iranian-Israeli Attrition and Saudi-Turkish Ascendancy

The Middle East has seen dramatic geopolitical shifts since October 7, 2023. From the war on Gaza to confrontations in Lebanon and Yemen, the fall of the Assad regime, the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, along with Iran’s attacks on Gulf states and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, interconnected conflicts have impacted not only… Continue reading The Post-October 7 Era: Iranian-Israeli Attrition and Saudi-Turkish Ascendancy

learn more
July 29, 2026
A U.S.-Iran Deal That Does Not Address Gulf Concerns Will Not Bring Stability

Although the memorandum of understanding (MoU) between the United States and Iran has been faltering since the moment it was signed, there is no longer a question for the Gulf states over whether an agreement can be reached, but rather the nature of such an agreement. That includes not just its nuclear program but its… Continue reading A U.S.-Iran Deal That Does Not Address Gulf Concerns Will Not Bring Stability

learn more
July 28, 2026
The Gulf on the Threshold of a New Nuclear Map

The historic U.S.-Saudi nuclear cooperation accord signed on July 22 was reached amid efforts to bolster bilateral energy cooperation and diversify the Kingdom’s energy sources, and it includes a commitment to the highest standards of nuclear safety. But it also clearly shifts the delicate balance between the demands of nuclear non-proliferation and calculations of political… Continue reading The Gulf on the Threshold of a New Nuclear Map

learn more