NATO and the GCC: what lies ahead?

Situation Assessment

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The Gulf Caught Between Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab

Afkar

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The End of Saudi Restraint in Iraq

Afkar

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Recent
Publications

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October 7, 2026
Situation Assessment -
Israel Between Elections and Open Fronts

This situation assessment examines how domestic electioneering shapes Israel’s fragmented political landscape, its approach to Gaza, settlement expansion in the West Bank, and military operations and negotiations in Lebanon. It argues that the election outcome may alter the pace and rhetoric of Israeli policy without substantially changing its core objectives.

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September 30, 2026
Situation Assessment -
The Gulf’s Conundrum: Connecting Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab

This situation assessment examines the strategic connection between Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab and its implications for Gulf energy trade and maritime security. It argues that a sustainable response requires re-establishing sovereignty over Yemen’s coast and building a Yemeni state capable of guarding its own shores.

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September 29, 2026
Analysis Paper -
Central Asia in an Emerging International Order: Shifting Strategic Partnerships with the GCC

Key Takeaways Rather than seeing a transfer of dominance from Russia to China, Central Asia is moving toward multipolarity: While Russia retains extensive security, economic, and human ties, China has become a structural component of the regional economy through trade, energy, and infrastructure. The deeper shift is that no single power monopolizes the region, creating… Continue reading Central Asia in an Emerging International Order: Shifting Strategic Partnerships with the GCC

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September 29, 2026
Analysis Paper -
Central Asia in an Emerging International Order: Shifting Strategic Partnerships with the GCC

Key Takeaways Rather than seeing a transfer of dominance from Russia to China, Central Asia is moving toward multipolarity: While Russia retains extensive security, economic, and human ties, China has become a structural component of the regional economy through trade, energy, and infrastructure. The deeper shift is that no single power monopolizes the region, creating… Continue reading Central Asia in an Emerging International Order: Shifting Strategic Partnerships with the GCC

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Events

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8 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT
Economies in Crisis: Rethinking Development Priorities in the Arab Region
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14 October 2026
upcoming event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
Can Sanctions Achieve What Military Force Could Not in Iran?
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17 September 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT
BRICS and the Middle East: What Is at Stake?
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08 September 2026
past event 1:00 pm GMT - 2:00 pm GMT

Economies in Crisis: Rethinking Development Priorities in the Arab Region

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14 October 2026
upcoming event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

Can Sanctions Achieve What Military Force Could Not in Iran?

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17 September 2026
past event 4:00 pm GMT - 5:00 pm GMT

BRICS and the Middle East: What Is at Stake?

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Afkar

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October 8, 2026
Why Climate Finance Mechanisms Are Widening the MENA Region’s Vulnerability Gap

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) are among the regions most vulnerable to climate change. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has long identified the region as a climate hotspot, pointing to severe water scarcity, rising temperatures, and the vulnerability of coastal areas and major river systems, including the Nile and Tigris-Euphrates. Yet… Continue reading Why Climate Finance Mechanisms Are Widening the MENA Region’s Vulnerability Gap

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October 6, 2026
America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

For over a decade, the U.S. Mideast policy has been trapped in a vicious cycle. Every administration that enters the White House declares, in one way or another, that the region is no longer a priority, and that the future lies in Asia and the Indo-Pacific—the arena of great-power competition with China, as well as… Continue reading America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

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October 5, 2026
Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

With indirect talks between Washington and Tehran stalling and tensions rising around the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf states face tough choices with far-reaching implications that go beyond threats to energy supplies or increased transport and insurance costs, extending to cities, critical infrastructure and national economies. As Qatar and Oman intensify their mediation efforts, the Gulf… Continue reading Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

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October 8, 2026
Why Climate Finance Mechanisms Are Widening the MENA Region’s Vulnerability Gap

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) are among the regions most vulnerable to climate change. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has long identified the region as a climate hotspot, pointing to severe water scarcity, rising temperatures, and the vulnerability of coastal areas and major river systems, including the Nile and Tigris-Euphrates. Yet… Continue reading Why Climate Finance Mechanisms Are Widening the MENA Region’s Vulnerability Gap

learn more
October 6, 2026
America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

For over a decade, the U.S. Mideast policy has been trapped in a vicious cycle. Every administration that enters the White House declares, in one way or another, that the region is no longer a priority, and that the future lies in Asia and the Indo-Pacific—the arena of great-power competition with China, as well as… Continue reading America’s Dilemma in the Middle East

learn more
October 5, 2026
Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

With indirect talks between Washington and Tehran stalling and tensions rising around the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf states face tough choices with far-reaching implications that go beyond threats to energy supplies or increased transport and insurance costs, extending to cities, critical infrastructure and national economies. As Qatar and Oman intensify their mediation efforts, the Gulf… Continue reading Mediation for Long-Term Stability: A Vision for Gulf Security

learn more